What do
most people say about Lamar Jackson? Well, the stories about how all he can do
is run is no longer relevant...
The #Bengals play the #Ravens next week.
Bengals Linebacker @ljw21 just said that @Lj_era8 is a RB who plays quarterback.pic.twitter.com/O1NY7Id0lQ
— Dov Kleiman (@NFL_DovKleiman) October 17, 2021
The #Bengals play the #Ravens next week.
Bengals Linebacker @ljw21 just said that @Lj_era8 is a RB who plays quarterback.pic.twitter.com/O1NY7Id0lQ
Oh. Logan
Wilson has already made his position clear by tweeting, "We all know he's
great on the pass." But the remarks about Lamar's skills on the takeaway
prove that it was easy to overlook how good he is on the pass this year during
the 2021 season.
This
season, Jackson is executing 67.5 percent of his passes, gaining 8.7 yards per
attempt, averaging 9.9 yards passing depth and throwing exactly on target
(making available for catches) 80 percent of his passes, all of which are
career bests for him. In other words, Lamar has never before completed passes
so accurately and so far away. And all of this comes without a significant
increase in time per throw (3.12 seconds, career average of 3.11 seconds),
percentage of pressures allowed (19.1%, career average of 19.0%) or sack rate
(7.6%, career average of 6.9%).
In a
nutshell, that shouldn't be the case. Passers usually can't throw passes more
accurately and further without getting pressured or hit by a sack more often.
Lamar has decided that such conventions don't apply to him.
If you put
Lamar's accomplishments in context, they become even more staggering. Few teams
can match Baltimore in terms of player injuries. Jackson is no longer helped by
running backs J.K. Dobbins, Gus Edwards or Justice Hill, starting tight end
Ronnie Staley is out for the rest of the season, and only starting offensive
guard Ben Cleveland will return by Week 10.
Right
now, Lamar is playing behind the worst offensive line of his career. The
early-back group isn't impressive either, so Jackson is by a wide margin the
most dangerous player on the carry. At the same time, Lamar is allowed just 3.8
yards per carry before first contact with a defender, the worst performance
since Jackson's debut season in the league. That doesn't stop him from posting
great numbers, however, as Lamar is gaining 2.5 yards after contact (it was 1.9
yards in the 2019 season). In the 2021 season, Jackson has already walked away
from 10 grabs, though he had walked away from 14 total tackles in the previous
three seasons.
Lamar is
dragging the Ravens on his back. And he does it with the kind of success that
elevates him to a truly unique player. That's why Lamar-2021 is the best
version of Jackson we've seen.
Round 2. @LamarBrown15 @TomPoisal @CoachScottWHS @KevinLane99 #ShymShady https://t.co/r27bSdmfZ4
— Cooper Shymlock (@Coopershymlock9) November 15, 2021
Baltimore
expected Jackson to be able to take that step forward in his development in
2020. When asked what else Lamar can add after winning MVP for the 2019 season,
Ravens head coach John Harbaugh pointed to the success of deep passes,
"Cornerbacks will play one-on-one as well as safeties. We have to punish
them for that with long passes. If we can make teams regret shifting their
priorities to stopping the takeaway...That's the next step in the evolution of
our offense. I'm convinced Lamar can take that step forward."
In 2020,
Lamar failed to add. He started throwing more deep, but only completed 34.6
percent of his passes for 20+ yards and gained 11.2 yards per attempt. The 2021
season saw an increase in all of his long-assist metrics - completion
percentage (40%), yards per attempt (14.1), and PFF explosive throws (34.4% of
assists, up from 25% last year).
Much of Jackson's success has to do with the trust between him and receiver Marquis Brown. Brown periodically frustrates Jackson and Baltimore fans with dropped balls in easy situations, but he and Lamar have definitely struck the right balance. Jackson's long-range shots now feel confident, and he's not shy about deceiving defenders with his gaze and turning his eyes to the receiver only at the last moment. In a sense, Brown's drops even support the notion that Jackson has improved in that area.
Right now, Lamar is the NFL leader in total
assists (10.8) and yards per attempt (8.5).
Jackson also ranks first in the league in
mid-range passes to the middle of the field. And after all, this is one of the
most difficult areas to pass, where many variables are encountered, such as
linebackers dropping back to cover or safeties hunting for the ball.
Using @NextGenStats passing charts, calculated the % of middle field throws each QB has attempted through 6 weeks.
— Carter Donnick (@CDonnick3) October 21, 2021
I classified a 'middle of field' throw as an attempt between 8-20 yards and within the middle 1/3 width of the field. (Minimum 50 passing attempts) pic.twitter.com/hO0YANmhJo
There's a whole list of players who
seriously suffer from a lack of throwing skill in the middle of the field,
whether it's Ben Roethlisberger, Jalen Hurts, Baker Mayfield or Kirk Cousins.
But Lamar has been good at this component since college. Part of the reason is
that opposing linebackers see Jackson as a dangerous threat at the line of
scrimmage, so they get closer to the line of scrimmage, lose their opponents in
coverage and run them behind the back.
Jackson's progress on long passes is surprising in that Baltimore hasn't changed anything for it. The offensive line isn't defending Jackson any better this year, the Ravens haven't signed any new assistants for their quarterback (rookie receiver Rashod Bateman doesn't count - he just joined the lineup). The coaching staff simply decided to refocus the offense a bit more on mid-range and long-range passing, and Lamar is doing a brilliant job. The main beneficiary of such a change has been tight end Mark Andrews, who has both great catching range and the necessary speed.
Lamar's progress on long passes, as
Harbaugh predicted, puts defenders in a no-win situation. While the safeties
load the zone near the line of scrimmage, the Ravens rely on deep passes and
execute them at a decent level. Lighten up the line of scrimmage and you
immediately get in the teeth from the takeout game or open up opportunities for
mid-range passes. So every week begins for Baltimore's new opponents scratching
their heads with the question, "How do we stop this?"
There's a theory that Baltimore's opponents
don't have much to worry about because the situation will straighten itself
out. In Week 7's game against the Bengals, Baltimore got a serious slap shot,
and Lamar was able to complete less than half (48.3%) of his passes and was hit
by a sack five times.
Jackson definitely has a lot to praise for
at the end of the first half of the season. If the Ravens quarterback can prove
that this kind of play wasn't a fluke, then we'll really get an answer to the
question of whether Lamar can be a franchise quarterback for a long time to
come.